RESEARCH REPORT
ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation
XOM
$163.54
As of 2026-09-20
Research note — 2026-09-20. Educational analysis, not financial advice.
The one-line version
ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation trades near $163.54 on a trailing multiple of about 21.0x versus its own 5-year median near 15.2x, against contested Street targets and the usual concentration and execution risks. That's the tension. Everything below is the detail.
That's the tension. Everything below is the detail.
1. What you're paying
| Now | Its own 5-year median | Gap | |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing) | ~21.0 | ~15.2 | +39% |
| P/E (forward) | ~15.2 | — | — |
| EPS (TTM) | 7.78 | — | — |
| Gross margin | 29.8% | — | — |
What that means in plain terms: the gap versus the company's own history is the growth or durability the market is already pricing. It is not automatically wrong — it is the bet.
Fair-value anchors on file:
- 5-year median P/E multiple: $117.97 — Applies the 5-year median multiple (15.2x) to trailing EPS.
- Street mean target: $170.91 — Average published analyst target.
- Street target midpoint: $171.00 — Midpoint of $142.00–$200.00 published range.
Street targets run from $142.00 to $200.00. A wide spread means the name is contested, not consensus.
2. What the bulls are counting on
- The S&P 500 Has Returned About 11% Annually Since 1958. Here's the ETF I'd Trust for the Next 30 Years.
- Ranking the Safest Dividend Stocks in the Energy Sector Right Now
- 500th Episode: participating Tips from 11 Years of Podcasting About Stocks
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Bull case, bear case, assumptions, and what to watch next.
3. What the bears see
- ExxonMobil's Advantaged Assets and Refining Strength Drive Outlook
- Chemical Recycling Market Size, Share & Trends Analysis - Global Opportunity Analysis & Industry Forecast (2026-2036)
- Exxon’s 11 Million-Gallon Refinery Goes Dark. How High Can Midwest Gas Prices Go?
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Bull case, bear case, assumptions, and what to watch next.
4. What would have to be true
For the stock to justify ~21.0x rather than its 5-year ~15.2x, roughly all of the following need to neutral:
- Growth or margin durability shows up in the next several reports, not just in narrative.
- Key revenue concentrations survive competitive and regulatory pressure.
- Execution on the current product or services cycle stays on schedule.
- The Street target range compresses as results clarify the contested assumptions.
Ask yourself honestly: how many of those would you bet on individually? Multiply your answers together.
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Bull case, bear case, assumptions, and what to watch next.
5. What to watch next
- Next earnings date: 2026-10-29
- Trailing and forward multiples versus the company's own history
- Segment growth rates in the next 10-Q / earnings release
- Material Form 4 and 13F changes
- Whether the Street high-to-low target spread narrows or widens
Sign up free to read the full analysis
Bull case, bear case, assumptions, and what to watch next.
6. What this note does not do
It doesn't tell you to buy or sell. It won't, ever.
You have the valuation in context, the strongest version of both cases, and the specific assumptions the current price depends on. What you do with that depends on your time horizon, your existing exposure, your risk tolerance, and what else you could do with the money — none of which we know.
If you want someone to tell you what to do, you want a licensed financial adviser, and that is a genuinely reasonable thing to want.
Educational and informational purposes only. Not investment advice and not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. GetStockReport is not a registered investment adviser. Figures are as of 2026-09-20 and go stale quickly — verify against primary sources before acting. All investments carry risk including loss of principal. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
8. Analyst ratings & targets
No recent activity
Analyst opinions change frequently. Past upgrades do not predict future returns.
9. Important news
Sep 19, 2026|The S&P 500 Has Returned About 11% Annually Since 1958. Here's the ETF I'd Trust for the Next 30 Years.(Yahoo)
Investors need something that evolves with a changing economy.
Sep 18, 2026|Ranking the Safest Dividend Stocks in the Energy Sector Right Now(Yahoo)
ExxonMobil, Enterprise Products Partners, and Brookfield Renewable are safe income plays.
Sep 18, 2026|500th Episode: Investing Tips from 11 Years of Podcasting About Stocks(Yahoo)
Bulls and bears, COVID, a banking crisis, and the AI Revolution. What stocks stand out over the last 11 years?
Sep 18, 2026|ExxonMobil's Advantaged Assets and Refining Strength Drive Outlook(Yahoo)
XOM's advantaged assets, strong crude prices and elevated refining margins support its production and refining outlook.
Sep 18, 2026|Chemical Recycling Market Size, Share & Trends Analysis - Global Opportunity Analysis & Industry Forecast (2026-2036)(Yahoo)
The global chemical recycling market is projected to grow from USD 4.8 billion in 2026 to USD 18.4 billion by 2036, at a 14.4% CAGR. Growth is driven by plastic waste volumes, recycled-content mandates, demand for food-grade recycled plastics, and advances in pyrolysis and enzymatic recycling. Europe leads the market, while Asia-Pacific is forecast to grow fastest. The report examines technologies, feedstocks, applications, regional trends, investment opportunities, and leading companies includi
News headlines are reported as-is. Verify important claims with original sources.
10. Insider Form 4 activity
No recent activity
Form 4 filings are routine transactions. Scheduled sales (10b5-1 plans) are normal and not signals.
11. Institutional 13F holdings
| Fund | Shares | Position | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vanguard Group | 387,669,508 | $46.7B | — |
| State Street | 206,811,526 | $28.3B | — |
| BlackRock | 124,511,967 | $14.3B | — |
| BlackRock Institutional Trust | 5,903,351 | $532.8M | — |
These are 45-day lagged filings (SEC requirement). Position changes happened in the past.
12. Earnings this week
No recent activity
Earnings dates are estimates and may shift. EPS estimates are consensus, not predictions.