RESEARCH REPORT
NVIDIA Corporation
NVDA
$204.64
As of 2026-11-01
Research note — 2026-11-01. Educational analysis, not financial advice.
The one-line version
NVIDIA Corporation trades near $204.64 on a trailing multiple of about 25.9x versus its own 5-year median near 23.5x, against contested Street targets and the usual concentration and execution risks. That's the tension. Everything below is the detail.
That's the tension. Everything below is the detail.
1. What you're paying
| Now | Its own 5-year median | Gap | |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing) | ~25.9 | ~23.5 | +10% |
| P/E (forward) | ~12.9 | — | — |
| EPS (TTM) | 7.91 | — | — |
| Gross margin | 74.7% | — | — |
What that means in plain terms: the gap versus the company's own history is the growth or durability the market is already pricing. It is not automatically wrong — it is the bet.
Fair-value anchors on file:
- 5-year median P/E multiple: $186.06 — Applies the 5-year median multiple (23.5x) to trailing EPS.
- Street mean target: $328.95 — Average published analyst target.
- Street target midpoint: $347.50 — Midpoint of $180.00–$515.00 published range.
Street targets run from $180.00 to $515.00. A wide spread means the name is contested, not consensus.
2. What the bulls are counting on
- 1 Big Winner and 1 Loser From the Upcoming Anthropic IPO
- After Eli Lilly’s Explosive Earnings Report, Is It Too Late to transact in the Stock?
- Nvidia (NVDA) CEO Jensen Huang Reportedly Targeted In Chinese Espionage Plot
Sign up free to read the full analysis
Bull case, bear case, assumptions, and what to watch next.
3. What the bears see
- Shopify Stock Is More Than 10% Below Its Record. Should You bullish Before Its Nov. 3 Report?
- Want $1,000 a Month in Passive Income? Start With This Brilliant Dividend ETF.
- 5 Best High Growth Stocks Outside Big Tech
Sign up free to read the full analysis
Bull case, bear case, assumptions, and what to watch next.
4. What would have to be true
For the stock to justify ~25.9x rather than its 5-year ~23.5x, roughly all of the following need to neutral:
- Growth or margin durability shows up in the next several reports, not just in narrative.
- Key revenue concentrations survive competitive and regulatory pressure.
- Execution on the current product or services cycle stays on schedule.
- The Street target range compresses as results clarify the contested assumptions.
Ask yourself honestly: how many of those would you bet on individually? Multiply your answers together.
Sign up free to read the full analysis
Bull case, bear case, assumptions, and what to watch next.
5. What to watch next
- Next earnings date: 2026-11-17
- Trailing and forward multiples versus the company's own history
- Segment growth rates in the next 10-Q / earnings release
- Material Form 4 and 13F changes
- Whether the Street high-to-low target spread narrows or widens
Sign up free to read the full analysis
Bull case, bear case, assumptions, and what to watch next.
6. What this note does not do
It doesn't tell you to buy or sell. It won't, ever.
You have the valuation in context, the strongest version of both cases, and the specific assumptions the current price depends on. What you do with that depends on your time horizon, your existing exposure, your risk tolerance, and what else you could do with the money — none of which we know.
If you want someone to tell you what to do, you want a licensed financial adviser, and that is a genuinely reasonable thing to want.
Educational and informational purposes only. Not investment advice and not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. GetStockReport is not a registered investment adviser. Figures are as of 2026-11-01 and go stale quickly — verify against primary sources before acting. All investments carry risk including loss of principal. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
8. Analyst ratings & targets
No recent activity
Analyst opinions change frequently. Past upgrades do not predict future returns.
9. Important news
Nov 4, 2026|Tesla Wants to Build 20,000 Optimus Robots a Week. Here's the Supplier That Gets Paid for Every Single One -- and It's Not Nvidia.(Yahoo)
Texas Instruments supplies many chips for Tesla's humanoid robots.
Nov 4, 2026|Alibaba and Tencent Face Stunning Nvidia Chip Shortfall Despite Millions of Orders(Yahoo)
Nvidia's China Customers May Get Just 1% of Their AI Chip Orders in Four Months
Nov 4, 2026|Is Kimberly-Clark the Safest Dividend Stock You Can Buy Now?(Yahoo)
With 54 consecutive years of payout increases and a dividend that currently yields 4.7%, there's a lot to like about Kimberly-Clark.
Nov 4, 2026|Nvidia Stocks Decline 1.35% as $108 Billion Guide Sets the Next Revenue Hurdle(Yahoo)
The previous outlook also anticipates a lower gross margin than the preceding quarter.
Nov 4, 2026|Why Cricut Stock Soared 50% Today(Yahoo)
Analysts expected a lukewarm quarter from Cricut. They got stellar results and a 50% stock surge instead.
News headlines are reported as-is. Verify important claims with original sources.
10. Insider Form 4 activity
| Date | Executive | Action | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | COXE TENCH | Sell | 500,000 | $0 |
Form 4 filings are routine transactions. Scheduled sales (10b5-1 plans) are normal and not signals.
11. Institutional 13F holdings
| Fund | Shares | Position | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vanguard Group | 2,026,728,493 | $378.0B | — |
| State Street | 1,009,783,437 | $202.0B | — |
| BlackRock | 655,790,813 | $81.0B | — |
| BlackRock Institutional Trust | 924,367 | $98.7M | — |
These are 45-day lagged filings (SEC requirement). Position changes happened in the past.
12. Earnings this week
- Nov 17, 2026(13d)|Consensus EPS: $2.53|Previous: $2.22|Revenue est: $111.4B(after market)NVDA
Earnings dates are estimates and may shift. EPS estimates are consensus, not predictions.