RESEARCH REPORT
NIO Inc.
NIO
$3.21
As of 2026-11-01
Research note — 2026-11-01. Educational analysis, not financial advice.
The one-line version
NIO Inc. trades near $3.21 on a trailing multiple of about 25.8x, against contested Street targets and the usual concentration and execution risks. That's the tension. Everything below is the detail.
That's the tension. Everything below is the detail.
1. What you're paying
| Now | Its own unavailable median | Gap | |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing) | ~25.8 | ~n/a | n/a |
| P/E (forward) | ~25.8 | — | — |
| EPS (TTM) | -0.25 | — | — |
| Gross margin | 17.4% | — | — |
What that means in plain terms: the gap versus the company's own history is the growth or durability the market is already pricing. It is not automatically wrong — it is the bet.
Fair-value anchors on file:
- Street mean target: $6.11 — Average published analyst target.
- Street target midpoint: $6.95 — Midpoint of $3.72–$10.19 published range.
Street targets run from $3.72 to $10.19. A wide spread means the name is contested, not consensus.
2. What the bulls are counting on
- NIO (NIO) Stock Still Looks Cheap Based On Future Cash Flow
- NIO Inc. (NIO) Suffers a Larger Drop Than the General Market: Key Insights
- Nio's Sales Are Rising but 18.5% Is the Key Number to Watch When Q3 Earnings Arrive
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Bull case, bear case, assumptions, and what to watch next.
3. What the bears see
- Nio's Premium Deliveries Are Surging. Is This Warning Sign Getting Overlooked?
- What NiSource (NI) Said on Its Q3 Earnings Call
- 3 Chinese EV Stocks market participants May Be Watching As Volkswagen Cuts Back
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Bull case, bear case, assumptions, and what to watch next.
4. What would have to be true
For the stock to justify ~25.8x rather than its unavailable ~n/ax, roughly all of the following need to neutral:
- Growth or margin durability shows up in the next several reports, not just in narrative.
- Key revenue concentrations survive competitive and regulatory pressure.
- Execution on the current product or services cycle stays on schedule.
- The Street target range compresses as results clarify the contested assumptions.
Ask yourself honestly: how many of those would you bet on individually? Multiply your answers together.
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Bull case, bear case, assumptions, and what to watch next.
5. What to watch next
- Next earnings date: 2026-11-11
- Trailing and forward multiples versus the company's own history
- Segment growth rates in the next 10-Q / earnings release
- Material Form 4 and 13F changes
- Whether the Street high-to-low target spread narrows or widens
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Bull case, bear case, assumptions, and what to watch next.
6. What this note does not do
It doesn't tell you to buy or sell. It won't, ever.
You have the valuation in context, the strongest version of both cases, and the specific assumptions the current price depends on. What you do with that depends on your time horizon, your existing exposure, your risk tolerance, and what else you could do with the money — none of which we know.
If you want someone to tell you what to do, you want a licensed financial adviser, and that is a genuinely reasonable thing to want.
Educational and informational purposes only. Not investment advice and not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. GetStockReport is not a registered investment adviser. Figures are as of 2026-11-01 and go stale quickly — verify against primary sources before acting. All investments carry risk including loss of principal. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
8. Analyst ratings & targets
No recent activity
Analyst opinions change frequently. Past upgrades do not predict future returns.
9. Important news
Nov 4, 2026|Lucid Jumps 12%, Rivian Climbs 6% as Post-Election Rally Lifts EV Stocks; Tesla Slides 3%(Yahoo)
Post-election risk appetite sent smaller EV names surging while the sector's biggest player slid, raising a pointed question about whether the political shake-up helps or hurts the companies betting billions on America's EV future.
Nov 4, 2026|Rivian Gains Another 6%, Lucid Up 12% as Markets Rally After Democrats Sweep Midterms(Yahoo)
Key TakeawaysRivian shares rose 6% today in a market rally after Democrats swept the House and Senate, with no news from the company. Investors bought EV stocks along with the market: Lucid and NIO also rose, while Tesla fell on Elon Musk’s election losses.
Nov 3, 2026|Is Trending Stock NIO Inc. (NIO) a Buy Now?(Yahoo)
Recently, Zacks.com users have been paying close attention to NIO (NIO). This makes it worthwhile to examine what the stock has in store.
Nov 3, 2026|NIO Stock Rises Overnight: Retail Robots Surface At Swap Stations — New ES8 Edition Report Fuels SUV Buzz(Yahoo)
The retail pilot could tap Nio’s 4,230 Chinese swap stations, while a pending agreement would give Geely 30% of Nio Power.
Nov 2, 2026|Oracle, Nike upgraded: Wall Street's top analyst calls(Yahoo)
Oracle, Nike upgraded: Wall Street's top analyst calls
News headlines are reported as-is. Verify important claims with original sources.
10. Insider Form 4 activity
No recent activity
Form 4 filings are routine transactions. Scheduled sales (10b5-1 plans) are normal and not signals.
11. Institutional 13F holdings
| Fund | Shares | Position | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| BlackRock | 2,063,378 | $8.6B | — |
| State Street | 4,810,903 | $24.3M | — |
These are 45-day lagged filings (SEC requirement). Position changes happened in the past.
12. Earnings this week
- Nov 11, 2026(6d)|Consensus EPS: $-0.02|Previous: $0.01|Revenue est: $33.7BNIO
Earnings dates are estimates and may shift. EPS estimates are consensus, not predictions.