RESEARCH REPORT
Arm Holdings plc
ARM
$205.97
As of 2026-11-01
Research note — 2026-11-01. Educational analysis, not financial advice.
The one-line version
Arm Holdings plc trades near $205.97 on a trailing multiple of about 212.3x, against contested Street targets and the usual concentration and execution risks. That's the tension. Everything below is the detail.
That's the tension. Everything below is the detail.
1. What you're paying
| Now | Its own unavailable median | Gap | |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing) | ~212.3 | ~n/a | n/a |
| P/E (forward) | ~67.2 | — | — |
| EPS (TTM) | 0.97 | — | — |
| Gross margin | 97.5% | — | — |
What that means in plain terms: the gap versus the company's own history is the growth or durability the market is already pricing. It is not automatically wrong — it is the bet.
Fair-value anchors on file:
- Street mean target: $290.70 — Average published analyst target.
- Street target midpoint: $312.50 — Midpoint of $125.00–$500.00 published range.
Street targets run from $125.00 to $500.00. A wide spread means the name is contested, not consensus.
2. What the bulls are counting on
- Apple Leads Packed Earnings Calendar As market participants Eye Tech, Pharma Results
- Why Arm Holdings Stock Plummeted by Nearly 10% Today
- Alphabet Posts Worst Week Since 2011, Intel Suffers Record Crash as Warsh Sees 'Cracks': This Week on Wall Street
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Bull case, bear case, assumptions, and what to watch next.
3. What the bears see
- Broadcom Falls 5% Despite DA Davidson Upgrade on Anthropic and OpenAI IPO Hopes; Arm and Qualcomm Sink 10%, Marvell Drops 8%
- The Other Elon Musk ETF Responds as Tesla Tops $100
- Black Friday Came Early for Chipmakers: Intel and 10 Other Stocks Are More Than 20% Off This Month
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Bull case, bear case, assumptions, and what to watch next.
4. What would have to be true
For the stock to justify ~212.3x rather than its unavailable ~n/ax, roughly all of the following need to neutral:
- Growth or margin durability shows up in the next several reports, not just in narrative.
- Key revenue concentrations survive competitive and regulatory pressure.
- Execution on the current product or services cycle stays on schedule.
- The Street target range compresses as results clarify the contested assumptions.
Ask yourself honestly: how many of those would you bet on individually? Multiply your answers together.
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Bull case, bear case, assumptions, and what to watch next.
5. What to watch next
- Next earnings date: 2026-11-05
- Trailing and forward multiples versus the company's own history
- Segment growth rates in the next 10-Q / earnings release
- Material Form 4 and 13F changes
- Whether the Street high-to-low target spread narrows or widens
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Bull case, bear case, assumptions, and what to watch next.
6. What this note does not do
It doesn't tell you to buy or sell. It won't, ever.
You have the valuation in context, the strongest version of both cases, and the specific assumptions the current price depends on. What you do with that depends on your time horizon, your existing exposure, your risk tolerance, and what else you could do with the money — none of which we know.
If you want someone to tell you what to do, you want a licensed financial adviser, and that is a genuinely reasonable thing to want.
Educational and informational purposes only. Not investment advice and not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. GetStockReport is not a registered investment adviser. Figures are as of 2026-11-01 and go stale quickly — verify against primary sources before acting. All investments carry risk including loss of principal. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
8. Analyst ratings & targets
No recent activity
Analyst opinions change frequently. Past upgrades do not predict future returns.
9. Important news
Nov 4, 2026|US Equity Futures Rise Pre-Bell as Traders Assess Implications of Democrat Win in US Midterm Elections(Yahoo)
US equity futures were edging higher pre-bell Wednesday as traders evaluated the implications of the
Nov 4, 2026|Wall Street Lunch: Uncertainty Removed, Optimism Returns(SeekingAlpha)
Midterm election results eased uncertainty, lifting stocks while yields and oil prices declined.
Nov 4, 2026|Stock Market Today: Dow Jones, S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 Futures Rise as Democrats Take Control of Congress—AMD, AMGN, NVO in Focus (UPDATED)(Benzinga)
U.S. stocks rose on Wednesday, as the Dow Jones, S&P 500, and Nasdaq 100 index futures advanced, following Tuesday's mixed close.
Nov 4, 2026|Why I'm Not Worried About AMD Anymore (Rating Upgrade)(SeekingAlpha)
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. stock drops may be overdone. Click for why AMD's improving server CPU demand and the Helios ramp support a buy rating into year-end.
Nov 4, 2026|Zacks Investment Ideas feature highlights: QQQ, CoreWeave, SanDisk, Marvell, Arm and Micron(Yahoo)
QQQ faces AI funding fears, rate pressures and tech pullbacks, but historical post-midterm gains and improving technical conditions point to potential market recovery.
News headlines are reported as-is. Verify important claims with original sources.
10. Insider Form 4 activity
No recent activity
Form 4 filings are routine transactions. Scheduled sales (10b5-1 plans) are normal and not signals.
11. Institutional 13F holdings
| Fund | Shares | Position | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| BlackRock | 55,765 | $9.1B | — |
| State Street | 359,440 | $127.4M | — |
These are 45-day lagged filings (SEC requirement). Position changes happened in the past.
12. Earnings this week
No recent activity
Earnings dates are estimates and may shift. EPS estimates are consensus, not predictions.